Posted by DavidDay on Jan 5, 2014 in Articles, Disaster Prep & Humanitarian Aid, Foreign Policy/Geopolitics, Korean Peninsula, North Korea, North Korea, North Korea, North Korea, Northeast Asia, Regional Security/Flashpoints | 0 comments
You might be asking yourself, “what difference does it make what the method of execution was for Uncle Jang Song Taek in North Korea?”
There is a distinction in the brutal savagery if, in fact, the dog-style execution was the case. The difference in the way that Jang died says something about Kim Jong Un and his power faction. It is one thing to be quickly snuffed by bullets while blindfolded at the stake, quite another to be torn apart rather more inhumanely, and probably more slowly, by vicious dogs. One says, “get rid of this threat to power, quickly and without remorse”. The latter says “eliminate this threat to power, with vengeance, delight in the human suffering, and provide a barbaric spectacle and lesson for others to witness and be intimidated by”.
If, in fact, the Uncle Jang’s execution was by dogs, that type of savagery is likely to be a “bridge too far” for this regime to stand. It blows the whole lie of a “Worker’s Paradise” completely out of the water and shoves factions within the country much closer to a “Peoples’ Power” tipping point.
So there is a huge difference that the method of execution makes. If it is the dog version, we had better be ready for a regime collapse and a humanitarian crisis the likes of which the world has not seen in recent times.Read More
Posted by DavidDay on Sep 9, 2013 in Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Critical National / Regional Security Issues, Disaster Prep & Humanitarian Aid, Economic Development, Economic Security/Development, Foreign Policy/Geopolitics, Foreign Policy/Geopolitics, International Business, Iran, Iran, Iran, Middle East, Military, Our Media, Pakistan, Pakistan, Pakistan, Regional Security/Flashpoints, Regional Security/Flashpoints, Syria, Syria, Syria, Syria, WMD/Chemical Weapons | 0 comments
If you have not noticed, the Washington focus on the Middle East has moved from Libya to Egypt to Syria and now to Iran. There are, however, other countries that continue to struggle with seemly insurmountable challenges to their very existence as nation states—namely, Afghanistan and Pakistan. They are all but forgotten.
In this global broadcast, both on audio and video, David Day engages in an unusual and in-depth discussion with Dr. Abdul-Karim Khan, an expert that grew up in Peshawar, Pakistan. Dr. Khan has tremendous depth in the history, the politics, the Taliban, Al-Qaeda, and the challenges that both Afghanistan and Pakistan now face. He also discusses the background and makeup of the Syrian rebel army and the linkages and non-linkages between Afghanistan, Pakistan and the civil war in Syria.Read More
Posted by DavidDay on Aug 19, 2013 in Articles, China, China, Disaster Prep & Humanitarian Aid, Foreign Policy/Geopolitics, International Business, Korean Peninsula, North Korea, North Korea, Northeast Asia, Regional Security/Flashpoints | 0 comments
Some commentators suggest that this Cheonan incident may have created be the perfect storm to elbow the regime over the cliff. The consequences of such a “Diem” strategy towards the DPRK would be disastrous. Even without being elbowed, the regime is still going to implode. It is not a question of whether. It is simply a question of when—and and serious economic sanctions run the terrible risk of shoving the DPRK right over the edge.
A DPRK implosion will cause a massive disaster crisis on a scale the likes of which the world has never seen before. On the human side, the disaster will involve hundreds of thousands of refugees seeking to breach the Chinese and Russian borders in the Northern part of the country and even greater numbers attempting to cross the heavily- mined DMZ to get to Seoul. There are multi-million numbers involved in human relief efforts that will have to be sustained for a lengthy period of time since there is no economy. Then there are the WMD weapons, expertise, nuclear materials, and rogue military issues also in the equation which will have to somehow be handled with lightening speed before being spirited away into undesirable hands. The current regime is already unstable and approaching a delicate leadership time—a collapse risks an implosion of epic proportions, making Haiti look like a garden party. Russia and China understand this and will not buy into any serious, biting economic sanctions that shove North Korea closer to the brink.
There are two critical points here. The first is that there can never be stability on the Korean peninsula until the DPRK can create a modicum of economic progress. Every day that the country can move a bit towards its 2012 economic goal of “A Mighty and Prosperous Nation” is a win and pushes the implosion nightmare back a notch or two. This will require heavier involvement of the private sector, not less. As a policy goal, Seoul and Washington must find ways to get more of the private sector underway in North Korea. The heroine for peninsula stability last year was Hyun Jung-Eun, chairwoman of South Korea’s Hyundai Group who successfully negotiated the reopening of North-South trade after the Dear Leader shut it down. Hyun Jung-Eun personifies the type of private sector leadership that can brunt or possibly block the implosion nightmare– if given enough time.
The second point is that the current disaster relief efforts in Haiti and the Gulf of Mexico do not even rise to the level of dress rehearsals for a collapse of North Korea. Seoul will have to bear the brunt of the implosion nightmare. Unless the Blue House is sufficiently satisfied watching Washington’s current response to the crises in Haiti and with the BP oil spill, and is convinced that Washington is fully capable of handling a multiple-fold Haiti with lightning speed and minimal hiccups, it would be well-advised to get a massive, DPRK disaster master plan in place yesterday. This means strategic disaster planning, the staging of huge amounts of supplies, disaster management training and development, and repeated, coordinating rehearsals. The response time will need to be in hours, not days or weeks and a blistering fast disaster response cannot be cobbled together on this massive scale when it occurs. It will be way too late.Read More